Girls Hoop Walkertology
WALKERTOLOGY
If the tournament started today, this is how the seeds would break
down. This is not official. Official seeds are announced Feb. 21 at
12:30 p.m. at the Basketball Hall of Fame.
Note that as more teams qualify for the postseason, the rankings can vary greatly. I'll have a massive final Walker breakdown posted late Thursday night.
Before breaking out the results, let me run down what you're looking at below. There are three numbers after each team. These numbers reflect how that teams ranks within its division in the three categories used by the Walker.
First number: Winning percentage
Second number: Strength of schedule. You get four points for a D1 win, three for a D2 win and two for a D3 win. Take the total and divide it by the total number of games played.
Third number: Performance vs. tournament teams. This is the same mathematical equation as the second number, but its only for games against teams in the postseason.
You then rank each team in each category and add up the rankings, so a team that is first, third, first has a total of 5. You then rank the teams based on that total number and there are your Walker rankings. And yes, this reminds each year of why I decided against going into a career involving mathematics.
Here we go:
Division 1 (through Tuesday)
1. Minnechaug (2-1-1)
2. East Longmeadow (1-2-2)
3. Northampton (3-3-3)
4. Ludlow (4-4-5)
5. Holyoke (5-5-4)
6. Central (6-6-6)
7. Agawam (7-7-7)
8. West Springfield (8-8-9)
9. Chicopee Comp (9-9-8)
Let's do a what-if version. Say that on Wednesday - Amherst beats Chicopee Comp to get in, East Longmeadow beats Longmeadow, Ludlow beats East Providence and Minnechaug beats Agawam on Thursday.
Everything would be the same except Amherst would get in and be the No. 9 seed and Comp would be the 10 seed.
Now, according to my numbers, the other big game is Ludlow-East Providence, as Ludlow drops to No. 5 behind Holyoke with a loss there.
Finally, the East Longmeadow Spartans are big Agawam fans on Thursday, as a Brownies win over Minnechaug would give EL the top seed and drop Minnechaug to No. 2.
Division 2 (through Tuesday)
1. Palmer (1-1-1)
2. Mohawk (2-4-2)
3. Commerce (3-2-5) - Gets tiebreaker with two category wins
4. Monument (4-3-3)
5. Mahar (4-6-4)
6. Athol (6-7-6)
7. Wahconah (8-5-8)
8. Drury (7-8-7)
9. Hoosac (9-9-9)
10. Belchertown (10-10-10)
11. Frontier (11-11-11)
12. Mount Greylock (12-12-12)
13. Gateway (Tri-County)
14. Hampshire (Sullivan Rule)
Still a ton of big games as Athol-Mohawk are playing Wednesday, as well as Commerce-Sabis, Hoosac-Greylock, Monument-Wahconah.
It looks to me like Monument jumps to the three seed by the slimmest of margins if the Spartans win against the Warriors, but there are so many games that could go either way it's hard to even project here.
Division 3 (through Tuesday)
T1. Lee (3-1-1) - Wins two categories
T1. Ware (1-2-2)
T3. Sabis (3-3-3) - Your guess is as good as mine here, but both teams still have games.
T3. Monson (2-4-3)
5. New Leadership (5-5-5)
6. Smith Academy (6-6-5)
7. McCann (7-7-7)
8. Putnam (Tri-County champion)
9. Franklin (Tri-County)
Two teams on the playoff bubble and I think both Lenox (needs to beat winless St. Joe to get in via Sullivan Rule) and Pathfinder (needs to beat Gateway for the second time this week) will get in.
Let's assume that and the following: Lee beats Taconic, Monson beats Hopkins and Smith beats Pioneer Christian. The big game then is the Commerce-Sabis game.
If Sabis wins, here's the list:
1. Lee
2. Sabis (tops Ware in tiebreaker)
3. Ware
4. Monson
5. New Leadership
6. Smith Academy
7. McCann
8. Putnam
9. Franklin
10. Pathfinder
11. Lenox
If Commerce wins, here's the list:
1. Lee (tops Ware in tiebreaker)
2. Ware
3. Monson
4. Sabis
5. New Leadership
6. Smith Academy
7. McCann
8. Putnam
9. Franklin
10. Pathfinder
11. Lenox
Everyone having fun yet?








