Boys Hoop Playoff Picture

I expect all the teams in the “Very Close” category to qualify. As for the teams on the bubble, I did not factor in second place in the league because that is way too complicated at this point. I also gave my prediction on which bubble teams will qualify. We will absolutely revisit this later.

DIVISION 1
QUALIFIED
Sci-Tech (10-3), Chicopee (10-3), East Longmeadow (10-3), Northampton (11-2)
VERY CLOSE
Central (9-5), Commerce (8-6), Minnechaug (8-4)
ON THE BUBBLE
Cathedral (4-9) - Best chance comes at second place in the league but mostly likely will be on the outside looking in with Central, Sci-Tech and Commerce the three likely Valley League reps. Best bet: 6-14
Westfield (5-7) - Off to a good start in league at 2-1. With Chicopee the likely favorite to win the league with Minnechaug in second, it comes down to the Bombers, Lancers and Colts fighting for wins. Best bet: 7-13
Chicopee Comp (6-7) - See Westfield. Best bet: 9-11
Longmeadow (5-7) - See Westfield. Best bet: 10-10
Putnam (4-9) - Chances are small. Best bet: 5-15
Ludlow (4-9) - Chances are small. Best bet: 4-16
West Springfield (7-6) - Terriers need three and should get them among Agawam twice, South Hadley and Ludlow. Bet bet: 11-9
Holyoke (3-9) – Purple Knights have a tough road ahead. Best bet: 4-16
ELIMINATED
Amherst (2-11), Agawam (2-11), Pittsfield (2-11)

DIVISION 2
QUALIFIED
Palmer (10-4), Hoosac (12-2), Drury (10-3),
VERY CLOSE
South Hadley (5-6, needs to beat either Southwick or Holyoke Catholic), Mohawk (9-4), Belchertown (9-6), Hampshire (8-6), Taconic (9-4), Wahconah (8-6)
ON THE BUBBLE
Mahar (6-6) - Senators looking at Athol, Pioneer Christian, Smith Academy and Greenfield as key games to win. Other four games are Easthampton, Frontier, Turners and Mohawk. Best bet: 10-10
Holyoke Catholic (4-8) - Needs six more wins and should beat Gateway, Southwick, St. Mary’s and Renaissance for four of them. That leaves two with South Hadley, Sabis, NLCS and Hampshire. It’s unlikely the Gaels beat Sabis and NLCS leaving big games next Monday against South Hadley (which can qualify with a win over Catholic), and the season finale against Hampshire. Best bet: 8-12
Greenfield (4-9) - The Wave need six wins and should get three against Smith Academy, Hopkins and Athol. Remained games include Easthampton, Mohawk, Pioneer Regional and Mahar. Not looking good. Best bet: 7-13
Monument (4-9) - Spartans need to upset either Taconic or Drury to give themselves a chance. Best bet: 7-13
Mount Greylock (4-8) - Mounties needs nine wins with a 18-game slate. Has St. Joseph, Drury, Monument, Lenox, Wahconah and Lee. Went 3-3 against these foes already. Best bet: 6-12
Southwick (5-8) - Rams need five wins and it will be very tough with Sabis twice, NLCS, Hampshire and South Hadley among their final seven games. Best bet: 6-14
ELIMINATED
Athol (1-13), Gateway (2-10)

DIVISION 3
QUALIFIED
Easthampton (10-3), Frontier (10-3), Lee (11-3), New Leadership (12-1), Sabis (13-1)
VERY CLOSE
Pioneer Regional (8-4), St. Joseph (9-4), Turners Falls (9-3)
ON THE BUBBLE
Granby (6-6) - Rams need four wins and should get them against Smith Vocational, Pathfinder, St. Mary’s and Pioneer Christian. Any slip up means they need to beat either Ware, Palmer, Belchertown or Monson. Best bet: 11-9
Hopkins (6-8) - Golden Hawks need four wins and has a brutal closing stretch against Pioneer Regional, Mohawk, Athol, Greenfield, Easthampton and Turners. They should beat Athol and Greenfield to give themselves a chance. Best best: 8-12
Monson (5-8) - Mustangs should take it to the wire. Needs four five wins among Belchertown, PVCS, Ware, McCann Tech, Pathfinder, Palmer and Granby. Best bet: 9-11
Ware (6-8) - Indians need four wins with Pittsfield, Granby, Palmer, Monson, Belchertown and PVCS. Best bet: 8-12
McCann Tech (7-6) - McCann is 6-1 and in first place in the Tri-County League. The Hornets should get in with at least 10 wins. Best bet: 12-8
Dean Tech (6-6) – Dean is 5-2 in the TCL and should get in with at least 10 wins. Best bet: 10-10
Franklin (7-5) – Franklin is 4-3 in the TCL and should get in with at least 10 wins. Best bet: 11-9
St. Mary (4-9) - Saints have a lot of work to do. Best bet: 6-14
Smith Vocational (4-8) - Vikings are in the Saints boat except need a little more help. Best bet: 6-12
Lenox (6-7) - Lenox qualified last year via the 70 percent rule and they can do it again this year. They may have qualified already but I haven’t been able to confirm it yet. The Millionaires have Taconic, Wahconah, Mt. Everett, St. Joe’s, Mt. Greylock, Lee and Monument left. They went 2-4 already this year.
Pioneer Christian (3-9) - PVCS needs to win out. Best bet: 4-15
Westfield Voke (3-8) - WVT needs to win out. Best bet: 5-13.
ELIMINATED
Mt. Everett (3-13), Pathfinder (2-10), Renaissance School (2-10), Smith Academy (2-11)

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