Girls Hoop Playoff Picture

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Updated top 10s will be up by Thursday morning.

I'm mostly going to ignore the league races for now as there are just way too many variables this far out. Once things get a little more cleared up, I'll start breaking down those automatic qualifiers as well.

DIVISION 1
Clinched

East Longmeadow (10-1)
Holyoke (10-3)
Minnechaug (10-2)
Northampton (10-2)
In Good Shape
Agawam (8-4) - Not a given, as the Brownies have two remaining games against both Central and Minnechaug along with another against Ludlow. But they should be able to come up with two wins out of Westfield, Cathedral and Longmeadow.
Central (8-5) - Have lost three of five, but knocked off Minnechaug on Monday. Should get to at least 12 or 13 wins, minimum.
Ludlow (7-2) - Amazing that they still have so many games left.
West Springfield (8-4) - Enough winnable games remaining to be confident that they'll get in, but there are challenges too with two each against Holyoke and Northampton.
On the Bubble
Chicopee Comp (6-6) - Could be in trouble. Have eight games left, including seven rematches. In the first matchups, the Colts went 4-3, including a somewhat shocking upset of Ludlow. Three other wins were Sci-Tech, Hampshire Chicopee. Losses were to Longmeadow, East Longmeadow, Amherst.
Pittsfield (6-6) - If I had to pick one of these two .500 teams to make the tourney, I'd go with Comp. The Generals need four wins out of West Side, St. Joseph, Hoosac Valley, Wahconah, Lee, Taconic, Monument and Drury. Could come down to that Drury game.
Amherst (5-8) - As submarined by injuries as any team, this is a longshot at this point. Must go 5-2 against a schedule of Hampshire (twice), Belchertown, Holyoke, Ludlow, East Longmeadow, Chicopee Comp. Doable, but they need Alyssa Leonard back to have any chance of posting that kind of run against that schedule.
In Rough Shape
Longmeadow (4-9) - Lancers were 4-5 not that long ago, but have suffered four straight losses to Holyoke, Central, Minnechaug and Agawam. Now they need to go 6-1 against a schedule that includes Central, Minnechaug, Agawam and East Longmeadow. Yuck.
Taconic (3-9) - Not with that remaining Berkshire North schedule.
Chicopee (3-10) - Would be a turnaround for the ages.
Westfield (3-10) - Remaining schedule is even harder than Chicopee's.
Eliminated
Cathedral (1-13)
Sci-Tech (0-12)

DIVISION 2
Clinched

Commerce (11-2)
Hampshire (4-10)
Mahar (11-2)
Mohawk (13-0)
Monument Mountain (10-2)
Palmer (13-0)
In Good Shape
Athol (9-2) - No worries here.
Belchertown (8-4) - Should get to at least 11 wins
Drury (8-4) - A few tough games coming up, but the Blue Devils will return to the postseason after a one-year absence.
Gateway (7-3) - Two wins away from reaching the tourney for the second-straight year.
Wahconah (8-4) - Have won five of six to get to this position. Will get to at least 11 wins.
On the Bubble
Easthampton (5-8) - Even trying to figure out second place in the Franlin South makes my head hurt.
Frontier (6-7) - Ditto.
Hoosac Valley (7-6) - Were once 6-1, but have lost five of their last six and onto the bubble. Still, the Hurricanes should get to their 10 wins.
Mount Greylock (6-5) - The Mounties could be in some trouble with a daunting final seven games.
In Rough Shape
Greenfield (2-10) - 8-0 isn't happening with that schedule.
Holyoke Catholic (6-9) - Eight-game losing streak did them in. Now they need to upset two of Belchertown, New Leadership or Commerce.
Eliminated
South Hadley (3-11)
Southwick (1-12)

DIVISION 3
Clinched

Lee (10-3)
Monson (11-1)
Putnam (11-1)
Sabis (12-2)
Ware (10-2)
In Good Shape
Franklin (9-4) - Will cruise into the tournament.
McCann Tech (8-6) - Very winnable games ahead.
New Leadership (7-6) - Wildcats will get there.
Smith Academy (9-4) - Should win the Franklin South.
On the Bubble
Lenox (4-8) - Trying to find out if they qualify for the 70 percent rule this year.
Pathfinder (6-6) - Could come right down to the last game or two.
In Rough Shape
Granby (4-9) - Had to come up with a win against Hopkins last week to have a decent chance. Now they must win one of Belchertown and Palmer.
Hopkins (5-8) - Schedule makes it look very difficult, but not impossible.
Pioneer Christian (3-9) - Very unlikely.
Westfield Vocational (4-8) - Too many tough league games remaining.
Eliminated
Dean Tech (1-11)
Mount Everett (5-11)
Pioneer Regional (2-11)
St. Joseph (0-10)
St. Mary (0-14)
Smith Vocational (1-10)
Turners Falls (1-13)

 

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