Daily Hampshire Gazette - Established 1786
P/sunny
71°
P/sunny
Hi 72° | Lo 41°

Path to Postseason After Charleston

Welcome to another year of Path to Postseason:

Using projected results (W,L, or ?) based on Jeff Sagarin's predictor from RPIforecast.com, I'll look at what UMass needs to do to reach postseason.

By postseason I mean any tournament happening after the conference tournaments are over - NCAA, NIT, CBI, CIT - I'm guessing a UMass team with a winning record gets a bid to one of those.
UMass has 31 games on its schedule and at least one A-10 Tournament game. So a winning record means at least 16 wins.

Currently: 6-0
WINS: BC, LSU, Youngstown State, Nebraska, New Mexico, Clemson
LOSSES:
RPI: 1
Sagarin Projected RPI: 12

BEST POTENTIAL RECORD HEADING INTO A-10 TOURNAMENT: 30-0
WORST POTENTIAL RECORD HEADING INTO A-10 TOURNAMENT: 6-24
Date - Opponent - (Expected result according to Jeff Sagarin's Predictor. A "?" is anything game where UMass is given a 40-60 percent chance of winning) The projections will change based on UMass' results and those of their opponents.


Dec. 3 at Eastern Michigan - W
Dec. 7 vs. BYU - ? - Was previously an L (38 percent) now close to a W at 55
Dec. 14 vs. Northern Illinois - W - Most likely win according to predictor at 99 percent
Dec. 18 at Ohio - W
Dec. 21 at FSU - ?
Dec. 28 vs. Providence - W
Jan. 4 vs. Miami (Ohio) - W
Jan. 8 vs. Saint Joseph's - W
Jan. 11 vs. St. Bonaventure - W
Jan. 15 at George Mason - W - Previously a ?
Jan. 18 at Elon - W - Previously a ?
Jan. 22 at Richmond - W - previously a ?
Jan. 26 vs. Fordham - W
Jan. 29 at St. Bonaventure - W - Previously a ?
Feb. 1 at Saint Joseph's - ?
Feb. 5 vs. La Salle - W - Previously a ?
Feb. 9 at Rhode Island - W - Previously a ?
Feb.12 vs. GMU - W
Feb. 15 at GW - ?
Feb. 21 vs. VCU -W - Previously a ?
Feb. 26 vs. URI - W
March 1 at Dayton - W Previously a ?
March 5 at Duquesne - W
March 9 vs. SLU - W Previously a ?


Prognosis:

Currently 6-0
20 projected W's
0 Projected L's
3 projected ?s

UMass' Charleston title moved nine games from ? to Wins. Obviously the Sagarin predictor not only likes UMass' NCAA Tournament chances, but the Minutemen's potential seed in the field

Comments
Legacy Comments0
There are no comments yet. Be the first!
Post a Comment

You must be registered to comment on stories. Click here to register.