Atlantic 10 Standings Picture (Updated after Wednesday's games)

I'm not sure this is worth the time it took to put it together, but here's a look at the Atlantic 10 standings and the the conference tournament picture. Extended UMass stuff below.

The plan will be to update this after each game

OWN TB - This only applies to head-to-head tiebreakers if the teams finish in a two-way tie. It means the team has beaten this opponent either once in the only time they met or swept the two-game series.

SPLIT - An opponent played twice with a win and a loss.

AHEAD - An opponent a team has beaten with a game left to go.

BEHIND - An opponent at team has lost to with a game left to go.

 

W L
1. Temple
11 2
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 14-2/11-5
OWN TB
: SLU, Char, URI, GW, X, SBU, Duq, Las
SPLIT:
AHEAD: Fordham, SJU
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at St. Joe, UMass, Ford

2. Saint Louis 10 3
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 13-3/10-6
OWN TIE BREAK: GW, Char, SBU, SJU, LaS, Rich, Ford
SPLIT: Dayton

AHEAD: X, Duq

BEHIND
:
Remaining games: at URI, (X), (at Duq)

3. UMass 8 5
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 11-5/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK: Ford, Cha, Rich, SLU, GW, SBU, Xavier
SPLIT: SJU
AHEAD:
BEHIND
: URI

Remaining games: at Dayton, at Temple, UR

3. Xavier 8 5
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 11-5/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK: Fordham, Duq, SBU, SJU, GW, URI
SPLIT:Dayton
AHEAD: Charlotte
BEHIND: SLU
Remaining games: Rich, at SLU, Char

3. St. Bonaventure 8 5
Best/Worst: 11-5/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK: GW, Dayton,Richmond, URI, Fordham
SPLIT: Duq
AHEAD:
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at Char, SJU, at La Salle

6. St. Joseph's 8 6
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 10-6/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK:Duq, Ford, Dayt, La Salle, URI, GW
SPLIT: UMass, Richmond
AHEAD:
BEHIND: Temple
Remaining games: Temple, at SBU

7. La Salle 7 6
Best/Worst:
10-6/7-9

OWN TIE BREAK: X, URI, Char, Duq, UMass
SPLIT:
AHEAD: GW
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at Ford, at GW, St. B

7. Dayton 7 6
Best/Worst:
10-6/6-10

OWN TIE BREAK: Temple, Fordham, Charlotte LaSalle
SPLIT: SLU, Xavier, Duquesne

AHEAD:

BEHIND:
Remaining games: UMass, at Richmond, GW

9. Duquesne 6 7
Best/Worst: 9-7/6-10
OWN TIE BREAK: UMass, URI, Rich, Ford
SPLIT: SBU, Dayton

AHEAD:

BEHIND: Saint Louis
Remaining games: at GW, at Charlotte, SLU


10. Richmond
6 8
Best/Worst: 8-8/6-10
OWN TIE BREAK:URI, Temple, Fordham La Salle
SPLIT:Charlotte, Saint Joe's
AHEAD
:
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at Xavier, Dayton

11. Charlotte 5 8
Best/Worst: 8-8/5-11
OWN TIE BREAK:SJU, URI, Ford
SPLIT: Richmond, GW
AHEAD:
BEHIND: Xavier
Remaining games: SBU, Duq, at X

11. GW 4 9
Best/Worst: 7-9/4-12
OWN TIE BREAK: URI, Richmnd
SPLIT:
Charlotte
AHEAD:
BEHIND: La Salle
Remaining games: Duq, LaS, at Dayton

13. Fordham 2 11
Best/Worst: 5-11/2-14
OWN TIE BREAK:GW
SPLIT:

AHEAD: URI

BEHIND: Temple
Remaining games: La Salle, URI, Temple


14. Rhode Island 2 11
Best/Worst: 5-11/2-14
OWN TIE BREAK: Dayton
SPLIT:
AHEAD: UMass

BEHIND: Fordham
Remaining games: UMass, SLU, Fordham

EXTENDED UMASS INFO:

If UMass wins 1 more game, the lowest it could finish is T8th

If UMass wins 2 more game, the lowest it could finish is T8th

If UMass wins 3 more game, the lowest it could finish is T3th

Historical Context

I did this last year and I'm bringing it back again with updated numbers. I'm sure I'll run it again later in the season.

This
is the seventh season that the Atlantic 10 has included 14 teams. I
analyzed the standings from each of the first five seasons and came up
with the following interesting (semi-interesting) facts and conclusions:

1.
Average wins for a first place team is 14.0. Only twice - Temple each
of the last two years - has a team won 14 games and not been the A-10
Tournament's No. 1 seed.

2. Average minimum wins to earn a
first round bye (fourth place) is 10.2. Ten league wins has been enough
to earn a bye in the first round of the A-10 Tournament four out of six
seasons. Only Fordham in 2006-07 and GW last year have won 10 and not
gotten a bye. Richmond in 2007-08 is the only team to get single digit
wins (9) to earn a first round bye.

3. Average minimum wins
to get a home game in the first round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament
(eighth place) is 7.8. St. Bonaventure in 2009-10 and UMass last year
are the only teams to have hosted a first round game with a losing
record at 7-9.

4. Average minimum wins to make the
Atlantic 10 Tournament (12th place) is 5.0. Only Richmond, which was
4-12 in 2006-07 and St. Joe's last year have ever got into the
tournament with fewer than five wins. Only George Washington in 2007-08,
was left out of the tournament with five wins. No team has ever been
left out with six wins.

5. Only one team has ever gone 12-4 in A-10 play. Xavier in 2008-09. It was enough to win the league.

6.
Xavier's 15-1 record last year was the first time a team had 15 wins in
league play since the expansion to 14 teams. Three have gone 1-15.

7. The sixth place team has always had nine wins.

8. The
team with the fewest league wins to earn an NCAA Tournament at-large
berth was Saint Joseph's in 2008. The Hawks were 9-7 in regular season
conference play.

9. The team with the most league wins not
to get and NCAA Tournament at-large bid was UMass in 2007. The
Minutemen won 13 A-10 games that year.

10. The teams with
the fewest A-10 wins to get an NIT bid wes Rhode Island which went 7-9
in A-10 play in 2007-08 and Dayton, which was 7-9 last year.

11.
No. 10 seed George Washington had the fewest league wins and still
earned a postseason bid. The 2009-10 Colonials were 6-10 in conference
play and went to the CBI.

Average win totals for:

First place: 14.0
Second: 12.3
Third: 11.3
Fourth: 10.2
Fifth: 9.3
Sixth: 9.0
Seventh: 8.2
Eighth: 7.8
Ninth: 7.3
10th: 6.7
11th: 6.0
12th: 5.0
13th
: 3.5
14th: 1.3

Place finish by win total

16 wins - First (1)
15 wins - First (1)
14 wins - First (3), Second (1)
13 wins - First (1), second (1), third (2)
12 wins - First (1)
11 wins - Second (3), third (2), fourth (2)
10 wins - Third (2), Fourth (1), fifth (2)
9 wins - Fourth (1), Fifth (4), Sixth (6), Seventh (1), Eighth (1)
8 wins - Seventh (5), Eighh (3), Ninth (2) 10th (1)
7 wins
- Eighth (2), Ninth (4), 10th (2), 11th (1)
6 wins - 10th (3), 11th (4), 12 (2)
5 wins - 11th (1), 12th (2), 13th (1)
4 wins - 12th (2), 13th (3)
3 wins - 14th (1)
2 wins - 13th (2), 14th (1)
1 win - 14th (3)
0 wins - 14th (1)

 

Using Jeff Sagarin's predictor, the final Atlantic 10 standings will be:

1. Temple13-3

1. Saint Louis 13-3

3. La Salle 10-6

3. St. Bonaventure 10-6

3. Xavier 10-6

6. Dayton 9-7

6. Saint Joseph's 9-7

6. UMass 9-7 

9. Duquesne 7-9

9. Richmond 7-9

11. Charlotte 6-10

12. George Washington 4-12

13. Rhode Island 3-13

14. Fordham 2-14

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