Atlantic 10 Math - How many wins will it take to ...
I'm running this again as the numbers are a little more relevant now:
I did this last year and I'm bringing it back again with updated numbers. I'm sure I'll run it again later in the season.
This is the seventh season that the Atlantic 10 has included 14 teams. I analyzed the standings from each of the first five seasons and came up with the following interesting (semi-interesting) facts and conclusions:
1. Average wins for a first place team is 14.0. Only twice - Temple each of the last two years - has a team won 14 games and not been the A-10 Tournament's No. 1 seed.
2. Average minimum wins to earn a first round bye (fourth place) is 10.2. Ten league wins has been enough to earn a bye in the first round of the A-10 Tournament four out of six seasons. Only Fordham in 2006-07 and GW last year have won 10 and not gotten a bye. Richmond in 2007-08 is the only team to get single digit wins (9) to earn a first round bye.
3. Average minimum wins to get a home game in the first round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament (eighth place) is 7.8. St. Bonaventure in 2009-10 and UMass last year are the only teams to have hosted a first round game with a losing record at 7-9.
4. Average minimum wins to make the Atlantic 10 Tournament (12th place) is 5.0. Only Richmond, which was 4-12 in 2006-07 and St. Joe's last year have ever got into the tournament with fewer than five wins. Only George Washington in 2007-08, was left out of the tournament with five wins. No team has ever been left out with six wins.
5. Only one team has ever gone 12-4 in A-10 play. Xavier in 2008-09. It was enough to win the league.
6. Xavier's 15-1 record last year was the first time a team had 15 wins in league play since the expansion to 14 teams. Three have gone 1-15.
7. The sixth place team has always had nine wins.
8. The team with the fewest league wins to earn an NCAA Tournament at-large berth was Saint Joseph's in 2008. The Hawks were 9-7 in regular season conference play.
9. The team with the most league wins not to get and NCAA Tournament at-large bid was UMass in 2007. The Minutemen won 13 A-10 games that year.
10. The teams with the fewest A-10 wins to get an NIT bid wes Rhode Island which went 7-9 in A-10 play in 2007-08 and Dayton, which was 7-9 last year.
11. No. 10 seed George Washington had the fewest league wins and still earned a postseason bid. The 2009-10 Colonials were 6-10 in conference play and went to the CBI.
Average win totals for:
First place: 14.0
Second: 12.3
Third: 11.3
Fourth: 10.2
Fifth: 9.3
Sixth: 9.0
Seventh: 8.2
Eighth: 7.8
Ninth: 7.3
10th: 6.7
11th: 6.0
12th: 5.0
13th: 3.5
14th: 1.3
Place finish by win total
16 wins - First (1)
15 wins - First (1)
14 wins - First (3), Second (1)
13 wins - First (1), second (1), third (2)
12 wins - First (1)
11 wins - Second (3), third (2), fourth (2)
10 wins - Third (2), Fourth (1), fifth (2)
9 wins - Fourth (1), Fifth (4), Sixth (6), Seventh (1), Eighth (1)
8 wins - Seventh (5), Eighh (3), Ninth (2) 10th (1)
7 wins - Eighth (2), Ninth (4), 10th (2), 11th (1)
6 wins - 10th (3), 11th (4), 12 (2)
5 wins - 11th (1), 12th (2), 13th (1)
4 wins - 12th (2), 13th (3)
3 wins - 14th (1)
2 wins - 13th (2), 14th (1)
1 win - 14th (3)
0 wins - 14th (1)










