Sunday, March 16, 2014
Welcome to another year of Path to Postseason:
Using projected results (W,L, or ?) based on Jeff Sagarin's predictor from RPIforecast.com, I'll look at what UMass needs to do to reach postseason.By postseason I mean any tournament happening after the conference tournaments are over - NCAA, NIT, CBI, CIT - I'm guessing a UMass team with a winning record gets a bid to one of those.UMass has 31 games on its schedule and at least one A-10 Tournament game. So a winning record means at least 16 wins.Currently: 0-0WINS: LOSSES:
BEST POTENTIAL RECORD HEADING INTO A-10 TOURNAMENT: 31-0WORST POTENTIAL RECORD HEADING INTO A-10 TOURNAMENT: 0-31Date - Opponent - (Expected result according to Jeff Sagarin's Predictor. A "?" is anything game where UMass is given a 40-60 percent chance of winning) The projections will change based on UMass' results and those of their opponents.
Nov. 10 vs. Boston College - ?Nov. 12 vs. LSU - ?Nov. 17 Youngstown - WNov. 21 Nebraska- WNov. 22 New Mexico/UAB - No projection until opponent has been determinedNov. 24 TBA - No projection until opponent has been determined Dec. 3 at Eastern Michigan - W Dec. 7 vs. BYU - L - Only projected loss Dec. 14 vs. Northern Illinois - W - Most likely win according to predictor Dec. 18 at Ohio - ? Dec. 21 at FSU - ? Dec. 28 vs. Providence - ? Jan. 4 vs. Miami (Ohio) - W Jan. 8 vs. Saint Joseph's - W Jan. 11 vs. St. Bonaventure - W Jan. 15 at George Mason - ? Jan. 18 at Elon - W Jan. 22 at Richmond - ? Jan. 26 vs. Fordham - W Jan. 29 at St. Bonaventure - ? Feb. 1 at Saint Joseph's - ? Feb. 5 vs. La Salle - ? Feb. 9 at Rhode Island - ? Feb.12 vs. GMU - W Feb. 15 at GW - ? Feb. 21 vs. VCU -? Feb. 26 vs. URI - W March 1 at Dayton - ? March 5 at Duquesne - W March 9 vs. SLU - ?
Prognosis: Currently 0-0 12 projected W's1 Projected L's 15 projected ?s